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Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Playoff Pick Ups Part 2



OK, this time I am going to focus on late season RB pick ups to help you make and win in the Playoffs. The top 3 contenders you can make waiver claims are, Brian Westbrook, Toby Gerhart & Jonathon Stewart.

We will start with the Ol' man of the bunch or the "Wizard" as he is known, Brian Westbrook. Gore is done for the season, so Westbrook is the man, again. In 2007 & 2008 westbrook was an elite back running over everyone and catching a lot of balls to boot, then he started getting some nicks,Philly didn't re-sign him and he wound up in San Fran. The Only Concern here is can he stay healthy, he has already proven he can stay in a game longer than Chad Pennington. Can He hold it together for 5 games? This is a gamble I am willing to take. In Philly Westbrook's name always seemed to be on the injury report, but he always seemed to play on Sunday and have a big game. Thats what the Wizard is a Gamer. He is available in 71% 0f Yahoo Leagues and 85% in CBS Today, tomorrow after waivers he'll be gone.

Next Up is Jonathon Stewart, who appears to be healthy. With Deangelo Williams on IR and Mike Goodson being...well Mike Goodson Stewart should remain the starter. Unfortunately The Panthers still want to platoon RB's so Stewart will share some of his carries. He Is Available in 46%  Yahoo leagues and 30% of CBS.

And now presenting your new starting tailback in Minnesota (maybe) Toby Gerhart.
If you are an A.P. owner and don't already have Gerhart handcuffed, we may have to come and take your man card. Sure Gerhart wasn't the fasted RB in his draft class, and he's not even the fastest on his team, but he is faster than Favre, meaning he will be open when ol'#4 scrambles. If Gerhart starts this week I expect big #'s. The Vikings are being very quiet so far to the extent of A.P.'s injury, But I am assuming that he won't start this week against Buffalo. That single fact alone means you should snag him and start him if only for this week as the Bills are giving up 167 yards a game on the ground.


Of The 3 RB My first Choice would be Westbrook other than Seattle every team he is going up against allows over 100 yards a game, and if your in a league that has your championship on week 17 your in luck The Niners get to play Arizona again but this time its a home game.

Must have Playoff pick ups

As the regular fantasy football season is winding down, its time to bolster your roster for the playoffs.  First off how good is your Back up QB?I can know that over 40% of Fantasy players can upgrade their teams at Backup QB. I'll throw a couple of names out.
 Ryan Fitzpatrick ( available in 47% of Yahoo Leagues 18% of CBS). Fitz is a geat backup capable of giving you big numbers and is worthing of spot starting due to Matchups.

Sam Bradford (available in 67% of Yahoo and 38% CBS) While not as consistant as Fitzpatrick he has turned the corner as is worth the roster spot as a backup and especially in keeper leagues.

But The Main guy I think you need right now is.........

Jon Kitna, thats right I said what I never thought I would say, but go pick up Kitna. I promise you he is producing better than your back up, in fact he is producing better than 25% of starting QB's on fantasy roster's! Want proof ? These stats come from a standard Yahoo! league. In the Last 6 games Kitna has scored 107.14 points. While Peyton Manning in His last 6 starts has scored 102.6 points. so if you need depth don't wait , grab Kitna. You won't be sorry everybody in Dallas is playing for their jobs, so expect a lot of passing from here on out,meaning lots more points for Kitna.

Monday, November 29, 2010

2010 Fantasy Draft in Retrospect

I commish a Yahoo Fantasy football league, Standard Yahoo scoring 12 teams. just for fun I analyzed the first round picks compared to the 12 best players in the league to date.


here is the braek down.



Here are the first round picks from our league and how many points they have scored up to date.



#1 Chris Johnson RB TEN 157.80 (Ride This!)



#2 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 188.70 (Colts)



#3 Maurice Jones Drew RB JAC 157.30 (Norsemen)



#4 Drew Brees QB NO 207.74 (Beer Thirty)



#5 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 235.30 (Voodoo Hounds)



#6 Rashard Mendenhall RB PIT 156.00 (T.I. Pirates)



#7 Peyton Manning QB IND 208.16 (MightDogs)



#8 Ray Rice RB BAL 138.70 (TN Rookies)



#9 Michael Turner RB ATL 146.70 (Dakota T-Wolves)



#10 Andre Johnson WR HOU 116.70 (Caballos Cowboys)



#11 Frank Gore RB SF 151.30 (RoadWarriors)



#12 Ryan Mathews RB SD 53.10 (Cuervo Gold)







Now Here are the current top 12 the second set of numbers indicate round and pick in wich they where selected in the draft. ND indicates not drafted.





#1-1.5 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 235.30 (Voodoo Hounds)



#2-5.8 Arian Foster RB HOU 233.80 (TN Rookies)



#3-5.6 Philip Rivers QB SD 217.38 (T.I. Pirates)



#4-13.3 Kyle Orton QB DEN 214.06 (Colts)



#5-1.7 Peyton Manning QB IND 208.16 (Mighty Dogs)



#6-1.4 Drew Brees QB NO 207.74 (Beer Thirty)



#7-ND Peyton Hillis RB CLE 202.42 (Mighty Dogs)



#8-3.2 Tom Brady QB NE 201.52 (Colts)



#9-ND Michael Vick QB PHI 200.54 (Ride This!)



#10-1.2 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 188.70 (Colts)



#11-9.5 Matt Ryan QB ATL 185.80 (Voodoo Hounds)



#12-7.8 Eli Manning QB NYG 183.64 (TN Rookies)









So here are some quick observations.



100% of teams Drafting QBs in the first round, that QB is still in the top 12 in points.



12.5% of teams Drafting RBs in the first round, that RB is still in the top 12 in points.





It is becoming more and more obvious to me that the era of taking a "RB" in the first 2 rounds should be over, but every year it seems that the RB's go first. In this particular League I Took Brees in the first round, and got Steven Jackson in the second round as the 21st overall pick. My next RB pick was in the 6th round Ahmed Bradshaw with the 69th pick. I went for a more balanced teamthis year.



Here are my pics.



1. (4) Drew Brees (NO - QB)

2. (21) Steven Jackson (StL - RB)

3. (28) Larry Fitzgerald (Ari - WR)

4. (45) Dallas Clark (Ind - TE)

5. (52) Hakeem Nicks (NYG - WR)

6. (69) Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG - RB)

7. (76) Johnny Knox (Chi - WR)

8. (93) Justin Forsett (Sea - RB)

9. (100) Terrell Owens (Cin - WR)

10. (117) Lee Evans (Buf - WR)

11. (124) Carson Palmer (Cin - QB)

12. (141) Miami (Mia - DEF)

13. (148) LaDainian Tomlinson (NYJ - RB)

14. (165) David Buehler (Dal - K)





As you see I got tremendous value for Tommlinson and I traded him & Santonio Holmes holmes



LT became expandable because I picked up Green Ellis



dropped Palmer at QB and pick up Fitzpatrick.



When Dallas Clark went down I grabbed Tamme.



I won't bore you with all the minor changes. I am just glad to say I am not a Pick a RB in the first 2 round guy anymore.....



Oh and as far as my team is concerned I am 8-3 tied for first and already have this week locked up, My only regret was not having a low enough waiver slot to grab Hillis or picking him a week sooner, I have him in my other 3 leagues and he is pure Gold!