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Monday, November 29, 2010

2010 Fantasy Draft in Retrospect

I commish a Yahoo Fantasy football league, Standard Yahoo scoring 12 teams. just for fun I analyzed the first round picks compared to the 12 best players in the league to date.

here is the braek down.

Here are the first round picks from our league and how many points they have scored up to date.

#1 Chris Johnson RB TEN 157.80 (Ride This!)

#2 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 188.70 (Colts)

#3 Maurice Jones Drew RB JAC 157.30 (Norsemen)

#4 Drew Brees QB NO 207.74 (Beer Thirty)

#5 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 235.30 (Voodoo Hounds)

#6 Rashard Mendenhall RB PIT 156.00 (T.I. Pirates)

#7 Peyton Manning QB IND 208.16 (MightDogs)

#8 Ray Rice RB BAL 138.70 (TN Rookies)

#9 Michael Turner RB ATL 146.70 (Dakota T-Wolves)

#10 Andre Johnson WR HOU 116.70 (Caballos Cowboys)

#11 Frank Gore RB SF 151.30 (RoadWarriors)

#12 Ryan Mathews RB SD 53.10 (Cuervo Gold)

Now Here are the current top 12 the second set of numbers indicate round and pick in wich they where selected in the draft. ND indicates not drafted.

#1-1.5 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 235.30 (Voodoo Hounds)

#2-5.8 Arian Foster RB HOU 233.80 (TN Rookies)

#3-5.6 Philip Rivers QB SD 217.38 (T.I. Pirates)

#4-13.3 Kyle Orton QB DEN 214.06 (Colts)

#5-1.7 Peyton Manning QB IND 208.16 (Mighty Dogs)

#6-1.4 Drew Brees QB NO 207.74 (Beer Thirty)

#7-ND Peyton Hillis RB CLE 202.42 (Mighty Dogs)

#8-3.2 Tom Brady QB NE 201.52 (Colts)

#9-ND Michael Vick QB PHI 200.54 (Ride This!)

#10-1.2 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 188.70 (Colts)

#11-9.5 Matt Ryan QB ATL 185.80 (Voodoo Hounds)

#12-7.8 Eli Manning QB NYG 183.64 (TN Rookies)

So here are some quick observations.

100% of teams Drafting QBs in the first round, that QB is still in the top 12 in points.

12.5% of teams Drafting RBs in the first round, that RB is still in the top 12 in points.

It is becoming more and more obvious to me that the era of taking a "RB" in the first 2 rounds should be over, but every year it seems that the RB's go first. In this particular League I Took Brees in the first round, and got Steven Jackson in the second round as the 21st overall pick. My next RB pick was in the 6th round Ahmed Bradshaw with the 69th pick. I went for a more balanced teamthis year.

Here are my pics.

1. (4) Drew Brees (NO - QB)

2. (21) Steven Jackson (StL - RB)

3. (28) Larry Fitzgerald (Ari - WR)

4. (45) Dallas Clark (Ind - TE)

5. (52) Hakeem Nicks (NYG - WR)

6. (69) Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG - RB)

7. (76) Johnny Knox (Chi - WR)

8. (93) Justin Forsett (Sea - RB)

9. (100) Terrell Owens (Cin - WR)

10. (117) Lee Evans (Buf - WR)

11. (124) Carson Palmer (Cin - QB)

12. (141) Miami (Mia - DEF)

13. (148) LaDainian Tomlinson (NYJ - RB)

14. (165) David Buehler (Dal - K)

As you see I got tremendous value for Tommlinson and I traded him & Santonio Holmes holmes

LT became expandable because I picked up Green Ellis

dropped Palmer at QB and pick up Fitzpatrick.

When Dallas Clark went down I grabbed Tamme.

I won't bore you with all the minor changes. I am just glad to say I am not a Pick a RB in the first 2 round guy anymore.....

Oh and as far as my team is concerned I am 8-3 tied for first and already have this week locked up, My only regret was not having a low enough waiver slot to grab Hillis or picking him a week sooner, I have him in my other 3 leagues and he is pure Gold!